2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Arkansas State at #125 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of +1.6 points per 100 possessions. That's a major climb from #166 a season ago, one of the bigger projected rises in the country. The projection makes this team a factor in its conference race.
Only 0% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in. The program adds 1 incoming recruit to the mix.
Last Season (2025-26)
Arkansas State finished 2025-26 at 18-12, ranked #166 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 108.4 and adjusted defense of 109.6 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Arkansas State
Arkansas State's power rating of +1.6 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of +1.6 means Arkansas State projects to beat a neutral-court average team by about 1 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Arkansas State Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Arkansas State has trended upward over the last few seasons. Their best finish in this window was #46 in 2024-25.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | -1.7 | #158 |
| 2024-25 | +10.1 | #46 |
| 2023-24 | +1.9 | #146 |
| 2022-23 | -6.8 | #265 |
| 2021-22 | -0.6 | #176 |
| 2020-21 | -2.1 | #183 |