2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Dayton at #63 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of +6.0 points per 100 possessions. The model sees improvement from last season's #85 finish. The model slots this team in the NCAA-tournament conversation.
About 46% of last season's production returns, a middle-of-the-road continuity number. The incoming class is headlined by 4-star Aiden Derkack, part of a 3-commit group.
Last Season (2025-26)
Dayton finished 2025-26 at 23-11, ranked #85 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 111.3 and adjusted defense of 98.2 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Dayton
Dayton's power rating of +6.0 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of +6.0 means Dayton projects to beat a neutral-court average team by about 4 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Dayton Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Dayton has been fairly steady in the LangIndex ratings over this stretch. Their best finish in this window was #23 in 2023-24.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | +6.1 | #78 |
| 2024-25 | +5.9 | #82 |
| 2023-24 | +13.5 | #23 |
| 2022-23 | +13.6 | #25 |
| 2021-22 | +13.1 | #31 |
| 2020-21 | +4.2 | #97 |