2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Fresno State at #132 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of +1.1 points per 100 possessions. That's roughly in line with last season's #135 finish. The projection makes this team a factor in its conference race.
Only 18% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in.
Last Season (2025-26)
Fresno State finished 2025-26 at 12-19, ranked #135 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 106.0 and adjusted defense of 104.3 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Fresno State
Fresno State's power rating of +1.1 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of +1.1 means Fresno State projects to beat a neutral-court average team by about 1 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Fresno State Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Fresno State's rating has slipped compared to a few seasons ago. Their best finish in this window was #70 in 2021-22.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | +0.3 | #127 |
| 2024-25 | -14.2 | #331 |
| 2023-24 | -11.0 | #312 |
| 2022-23 | -4.6 | #231 |
| 2021-22 | +7.9 | #70 |
| 2020-21 | -3.8 | #216 |