2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Memphis at #93 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of +3.5 points per 100 possessions. That's a major climb from #129 a season ago, one of the bigger projected rises in the country. The projection makes this team a factor in its conference race.
Only 0% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in. The incoming class is headlined by 4-star Fred Smith Jr., part of a 2-commit group.
Last Season (2025-26)
Memphis finished 2025-26 at 13-19, ranked #129 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 106.6 and adjusted defense of 104.4 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Memphis
Memphis's power rating of +3.5 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of +3.5 means Memphis projects to beat a neutral-court average team by about 2 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Memphis Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Memphis's rating has slipped compared to a few seasons ago. Their best finish in this window was #27 in 2022-23.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | +0.7 | #122 |
| 2024-25 | +10.3 | #43 |
| 2023-24 | +6.3 | #85 |
| 2022-23 | +13.4 | #27 |
| 2021-22 | +10.3 | #46 |
| 2020-21 | +14.0 | #27 |