2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Michigan State at #7 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of +19.1 points per 100 possessions. That's roughly in line with last season's #9 finish. LangIndex classifies this roster as a national contender.
About 67% of last season's production returns, a middle-of-the-road continuity number. The incoming class is headlined by 4-star Jasiah Jervis, part of a 4-commit group.
Last Season (2025-26)
Michigan State finished 2025-26 at 25-7, ranked #9 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 121.5 and adjusted defense of 94.1 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Michigan State
Michigan State's power rating of +19.1 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of +19.1 means Michigan State projects to beat a neutral-court average team by about 13 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Michigan State Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Michigan State has trended upward over the last few seasons. Their best finish in this window was #9 in 2025-26.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | +22.1 | #9 |
| 2024-25 | +15.0 | #21 |
| 2023-24 | +10.7 | #43 |
| 2022-23 | +4.7 | #108 |
| 2021-22 | +5.0 | #105 |
| 2020-21 | -3.5 | #211 |