2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Missouri State at #188 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of -0.5 points per 100 possessions. The model sees improvement from last season's #206 finish. The model expects a rebuilding-type season.
Only 29% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in.
Last Season (2025-26)
Missouri State finished 2025-26 at 13-18, ranked #206 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 106.9 and adjusted defense of 112.3 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Missouri State
Missouri State's power rating of -0.5 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of -0.5 means Missouri State projects to lose to a neutral-court average team by about 0 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Missouri State Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Missouri State's rating has slipped compared to a few seasons ago. Their best finish in this window was #38 in 2021-22.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | -3.5 | #198 |
| 2024-25 | -7.3 | #286 |
| 2023-24 | -0.5 | #173 |
| 2022-23 | +2.3 | #139 |
| 2021-22 | +11.1 | #38 |
| 2020-21 | +5.9 | #79 |