2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Tarleton State at #275 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of -2.5 points per 100 possessions. That's a steep projected drop from #248 last season, driven by roster turnover. This projects as a development year.
Only 32% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in. The program adds 1 incoming recruit to the mix.
Last Season (2025-26)
Tarleton State finished 2025-26 at 10-18, ranked #248 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 100.3 and adjusted defense of 111.9 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Tarleton State
Tarleton State's power rating of -2.5 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of -2.5 means Tarleton State projects to lose to a neutral-court average team by about 2 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Tarleton State Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Tarleton State's rating has slipped compared to a few seasons ago. Their best finish in this window was #198 in 2023-24.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | -5.5 | #240 |
| 2024-25 | -14.8 | #335 |
| 2023-24 | -2.0 | #198 |
| 2022-23 | -3.2 | #211 |
| 2021-22 | -5.0 | #240 |
| 2020-21 | -4.5 | #227 |