2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Tennessee State at #246 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of -1.4 points per 100 possessions. That's a steep projected drop from #200 last season, driven by roster turnover. The model expects a rebuilding-type season.
About 58% of last season's production returns, a middle-of-the-road continuity number.
Last Season (2025-26)
Tennessee State finished 2025-26 at 20-9, ranked #200 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 106.1 and adjusted defense of 111.8 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Tennessee State
Tennessee State's power rating of -1.4 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of -1.4 means Tennessee State projects to lose to a neutral-court average team by about 1 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Tennessee State Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Tennessee State has trended upward over the last few seasons. Their best finish in this window was #174 in 2024-25.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | -3.2 | #192 |
| 2024-25 | -0.5 | #174 |
| 2023-24 | -6.7 | #272 |
| 2022-23 | -3.1 | #210 |
| 2021-22 | -4.3 | #226 |
| 2020-21 | -11.6 | #300 |