2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Tennessee at #22 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of +13.4 points per 100 possessions. That's roughly in line with last season's #16 finish. LangIndex classifies this roster as a national contender.
Only 35% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in. The incoming class is headlined by 4-star Christopher Washington Jr., part of a 4-commit group.
Last Season (2025-26)
Tennessee finished 2025-26 at 22-11, ranked #16 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 120.2 and adjusted defense of 94.4 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Tennessee
Tennessee's power rating of +13.4 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of +13.4 means Tennessee projects to beat a neutral-court average team by about 9 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Tennessee Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Tennessee has trended upward over the last few seasons. Their best finish in this window was #2 in 2022-23.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | +20.8 | #16 |
| 2024-25 | +20.1 | #9 |
| 2023-24 | +18.1 | #13 |
| 2022-23 | +23.4 | #2 |
| 2021-22 | +17.2 | #13 |
| 2020-21 | +14.9 | #24 |