2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Texas State at #266 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of -2.1 points per 100 possessions. The model projects a step back from last season's #258 finish. This projects as a development year.
Only 28% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in. The program adds 2 incoming recruits to the mix.
Last Season (2025-26)
Texas State finished 2025-26 at 17-13, ranked #258 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 101.0 and adjusted defense of 112.3 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Texas State
Texas State's power rating of -2.1 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of -2.1 means Texas State projects to lose to a neutral-court average team by about 2 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Texas State Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Texas State's rating has slipped compared to a few seasons ago. Their best finish in this window was #95 in 2020-21.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | -6.0 | #250 |
| 2024-25 | -0.7 | #177 |
| 2023-24 | -5.8 | #261 |
| 2022-23 | -3.7 | #219 |
| 2021-22 | +4.2 | #118 |
| 2020-21 | +4.4 | #95 |