2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Toledo at #136 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of +1.0 points per 100 possessions. The model sees improvement from last season's #151 finish. The projection makes this team a factor in its conference race.
Only 28% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in. The program adds 2 incoming recruits to the mix.
Last Season (2025-26)
Toledo finished 2025-26 at 17-15, ranked #151 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 112.3 and adjusted defense of 111.5 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Toledo
Toledo's power rating of +1.0 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of +1.0 means Toledo projects to beat a neutral-court average team by about 1 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Toledo Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Toledo's rating has slipped compared to a few seasons ago. Their best finish in this window was #20 in 2020-21.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | -0.8 | #143 |
| 2024-25 | -5.6 | #264 |
| 2023-24 | +5.0 | #102 |
| 2022-23 | +13.3 | #30 |
| 2021-22 | +14.1 | #24 |
| 2020-21 | +16.5 | #20 |