2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects UMBC at #222 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of -1.0 points per 100 possessions. That's a steep projected drop from #192 last season, driven by roster turnover. The model expects a rebuilding-type season.
Only 32% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in. The program adds 1 incoming recruit to the mix.
Last Season (2025-26)
UMBC finished 2025-26 at 22-8, ranked #192 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 105.8 and adjusted defense of 110.8 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates UMBC
UMBC's power rating of -1.0 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of -1.0 means UMBC projects to lose to a neutral-court average team by about 1 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
UMBC Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. UMBC's rating has slipped compared to a few seasons ago. Their best finish in this window was #85 in 2020-21.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | -2.9 | #184 |
| 2024-25 | -4.7 | #245 |
| 2023-24 | -6.7 | #274 |
| 2022-23 | +0.4 | #163 |
| 2021-22 | -3.5 | #215 |
| 2020-21 | +5.4 | #85 |