2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Louisville at #5 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of +20.4 points per 100 possessions. That's roughly in line with last season's #12 finish. LangIndex classifies this roster as a national contender.
Only 23% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in. The incoming class is headlined by 5-star Obinna Ekezie Jr., part of a 3-commit group.
Last Season (2025-26)
Louisville finished 2025-26 at 23-10, ranked #12 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 124.0 and adjusted defense of 96.2 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Louisville
Louisville's power rating of +20.4 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of +20.4 means Louisville projects to beat a neutral-court average team by about 14 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Louisville Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Louisville has trended upward over the last few seasons. Their best finish in this window was #12 in 2025-26.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | +21.5 | #12 |
| 2024-25 | +15.9 | #17 |
| 2023-24 | -10.6 | #309 |
| 2022-23 | -19.2 | #351 |
| 2021-22 | -4.9 | #237 |
| 2020-21 | +1.8 | #131 |