2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Middle Tennessee at #242 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of -1.4 points per 100 possessions. That's a steep projected drop from #173 last season, driven by roster turnover. The model expects a rebuilding-type season.
About 62% of last season's production returns, a middle-of-the-road continuity number. The program adds 1 incoming recruit to the mix.
Last Season (2025-26)
Middle Tennessee finished 2025-26 at 14-15, ranked #173 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 107.7 and adjusted defense of 109.3 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee's power rating of -1.4 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of -1.4 means Middle Tennessee projects to lose to a neutral-court average team by about 1 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Middle Tennessee Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Middle Tennessee has trended upward over the last few seasons. Their best finish in this window was #74 in 2021-22.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | -1.8 | #165 |
| 2024-25 | +2.7 | #122 |
| 2023-24 | -11.0 | #313 |
| 2022-23 | +0.9 | #155 |
| 2021-22 | +7.2 | #74 |
| 2020-21 | -16.0 | #321 |