2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects Mississippi State at #102 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of +2.6 points per 100 possessions. That's roughly in line with last season's #107 finish. The projection makes this team a factor in its conference race.
Only 31% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in. The incoming class is headlined by 4-star Tristan Reed, part of a 3-commit group.
Last Season (2025-26)
Mississippi State finished 2025-26 at 12-19, ranked #107 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 110.5 and adjusted defense of 106.9 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates Mississippi State
Mississippi State's power rating of +2.6 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of +2.6 means Mississippi State projects to beat a neutral-court average team by about 2 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
Mississippi State Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. Mississippi State has been fairly steady in the LangIndex ratings over this stretch. Their best finish in this window was #41 in 2023-24.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | +2.6 | #100 |
| 2024-25 | +4.9 | #98 |
| 2023-24 | +10.8 | #41 |
| 2022-23 | +8.7 | #68 |
| 2021-22 | +6.2 | #88 |
| 2020-21 | +4.2 | #99 |