2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects New Mexico State at #234 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of -1.2 points per 100 possessions. That's a steep projected drop from #184 last season, driven by roster turnover. The model expects a rebuilding-type season.
Only 22% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in. The program adds 2 incoming recruits to the mix.
Last Season (2025-26)
New Mexico State finished 2025-26 at 13-15, ranked #184 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 107.2 and adjusted defense of 110.4 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates New Mexico State
New Mexico State's power rating of -1.2 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of -1.2 means New Mexico State projects to lose to a neutral-court average team by about 1 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
New Mexico State Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. New Mexico State's rating has slipped compared to a few seasons ago. Their best finish in this window was #63 in 2021-22.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | -2.5 | #176 |
| 2024-25 | -2.0 | #208 |
| 2023-24 | -13.8 | #328 |
| 2022-23 | -4.4 | #225 |
| 2021-22 | +8.4 | #63 |
| 2020-21 | +3.4 | #109 |