2026-27 Outlook
LangIndex projects TCU at #36 nationally for the 2026-27 college basketball season with a projected efficiency margin of +10.3 points per 100 possessions. That's roughly in line with last season's #37 finish. The model slots this team in the NCAA-tournament conversation.
Only 32% of last season's minutes return, so this roster will look very different. Expect some early-season volatility while new pieces settle in.
Last Season (2025-26)
TCU finished 2025-26 at 22-11, ranked #37 in the final LangIndex ratings with adjusted offense of 115.1 and adjusted defense of 98.0 points per 100 possessions.
How LangIndex Rates TCU
TCU's power rating of +10.3 is an adjusted efficiency margin: the points per 100 possessions the model expects them to outscore an average Division I team by, once you strip out schedule strength. It combines adjusted offensive efficiency, adjusted defensive efficiency, and pace into one number, so a rating of +10.3 means TCU projects to beat a neutral-court average team by about 7 points on a typical night. The full live version updates every morning during the season.
TCU Rating History
Season-by-season LangIndex power rating and national rank. TCU has trended upward over the last few seasons. Their best finish in this window was #31 in 2023-24.
| Season | Power Rating | Nat. Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | +14.3 | #37 |
| 2024-25 | -1.9 | #204 |
| 2023-24 | +12.0 | #31 |
| 2022-23 | +12.2 | #38 |
| 2021-22 | +4.9 | #109 |
| 2020-21 | -7.9 | #268 |